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Case Study #14 – AIRNYC: Short-Term Rental Acquisition (Case Only)

For our 14th case study, we explore rising investment in short-term rentals with a challenging, real-world acquisition analysis. These case studies are designed to help you practice and perfect your real estate financial modeling skills. This AIRNYC case study places you in the role of an Investment Analyst at A.CRE Capital, a firm specializing in acquiring and repositioning high-yield short-term rental assets in prime urban and resort markets.

In this scenario, you’ll evaluate the financial feasibility of acquiring and repositioning a five-unit brownstone in Manhattan’s East Village. Amidst a resurgence in urban travel and experiential lodging demand, the opportunity presents strong upside potential—but also heightened regulatory and operational risks.

A beautifully renovated brownstone in East Village, Manhattan, New York, designed as a luxury short-term rental property.

As with all A.CRE case studies, the names and some details have been adjusted for confidentiality, but the fundamentals and modeling challenges reflect real-world deals. Whether you’re preparing for a role in acquisitions, capital markets, or working on your modeling proficiency for interviews, this case simulates the kinds of decisions and analysis required in today’s investment landscape.

Are you an Accelerator Advanced member? The solution to this insightful case is covered in the Career Advancement Endorsement of the program. Not yet enrolled? Join the A.CRE Accelerator—the leading training program used by top firms and universities to train the next generation of commercial real estate professionals.

AIRNYC – The Background

You are an Investment Analyst at A.CRE Capital, a real estate investment fund specializing in acquiring and optimizing high-yield short-term rental properties across major urban and resort destinations. The firm’s strategy is to identify undervalued multifamily or single-unit properties, reposition them into premium short-term rentals (e.g., Airbnb-style), and exit within 10 years at a stabilized valuation.

Given the post-pandemic tourism boom, New York City has seen a surge in demand for well-located, professionally managed short-term rentals despite increasing regulatory hurdles. A.CRE Capital is considering acquiring a four-unit brownstone in Manhattan’s East Village to convert it into a luxury, fully automated, short-term rental operation.

Your task is to analyze the financial feasibility of this investment, structure an optimal equity and debt financing strategy, and assess risk factors that could impact returns.

AIRNYC – The Details

Acquisition & Market Assumptions

  • Property Type: 5-unit brownstone, 5,200 SF
  • Location: East Village, Manhattan, NYC
  • Acquisition Price: $4.5 million
  • Acquisition Closing Costs: 2% of purchase price
  • Planned Renovation & Furnishing Cost: $700,000
  • Total Project Cost: $5.2 million (Acquisition + Renovation)
  • Holding Period: 10 years

Revenue Assumptions

  • Nightly Rate (Average across 5 units): $400 per night
  • Occupancy Rate: Year 1: 65%, Year 2: 75%, Year 3-10: 80%
  • Annual Revenue Growth: 3% per year

Operating Expenses

  • Property Taxes: 1.2% of acquisition price per year
  • Insurance: $15,000 per year
  • Utilities & Maintenance: $40,000 per year
  • Platform & Management Fees: 15% of revenue
  • Cleaning & Housekeeping: $22500 ($75 per turnover – average of 5 turnovers per unit per month)
  • CapEx Reserve: $15,000 per year

Debt Assumptions

  • Loan-to-Cost Ratio (LTC): 70%
  • Interest Rate: 6.25% fixed
  • Loan Term: 10 years
  • Amortization: 30 years
  • Interest-only payments: 3 years
  • Loan Fees: 1% of loan amount

Exit Assumptions

  • Exit Cap Rate: 5.5% on Year 10 NOI
  • Selling Costs: 3% of sale price

AIRNYC – The Task

1) Investment Return Metrics

2) Sensitivity Analysis

Build sensitivity tables showing the results for the Levered IRR and Levered Equity Multiple with the following variables:

  • Exit Cap Rate vs Hold Period
  • Exit Cap Rate vs Purchase Price
  • Loan to Cost vs Cost of Debt

Do you want to create a real estate financial modeling case study that perfectly suits your educational or professional needs? Check out our A.CRE Real Estate Case Studies Creator Assistant!


Download the Short-term Rentals Case PDF

In addition to the web-based case, we’ve created a PDF version to download and use offline. As with our real estate financial models, this case study is offered on a “Pay What You’re Able” basis with no minimum (enter $0 if you’d like) or maximum (your support helps keep the content coming). Just enter a price together with an email address to send the download link to, and then click ‘Continue’.

We occasionally update these cases. Paid contributors will receive lifetime access to the case, and all updates.

 

About the Author: Arturo is a Financial Analyst at A.CRE. With a background as a Mechanical Engineer, he further honed his skills by obtaining a Master’s Degree in Industrial Maintenance. His experience spans over a decade as a university professor, and he has dedicated 3 years to the real estate domain, holding an instrumental role in administering the A.CRE Accelerator real estate financial modeling program and helping its members master complex modeling solutions.

Arturo's passion lies in building, improving, and analyzing real estate financial models. Arturo loves being with his family and climbing mountains in his free time. You can contact Arturo from his LinkedIn page.